Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Assessing Construction Earnings Growth
Across Louisiana Counties
Real* Construction
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Construction
Earnings Growth
Louisiana:
2010-2022 = 2.01%
2022 = 3.00%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of real construction earnings growth across all of Louisiana's 64 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this Louisiana Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the real construction earnings growth of Louisiana's 64 counties over the latest available year (2022) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2010-2022). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Real* Construction
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Construction
Earnings Growth
Louisiana:
2010-2022 = 2.01%
2022 = 3.00%
This figure displays the 64 counties of Louisiana as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual real construction earnings growth rate over the long-term period (2010-2022), and the horizontal axis representing the real construction earnings growth rate for the near-term (2022).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term real construction earnings growth exceeded the statewide average of 2.01%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 2.01% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual real construction earnings growth rate trailed the statewide average (2.01%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 28 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2010-2022, while 23 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 31 counties whose most recent (2022) real construction earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (3.00%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 20 counties whose real construction earnings growth over 2022 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 64 counties corresponding with their long-term (2010-2022) and near-term (2022) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of 2.01% over 2010-2022 and 3.00% over 2022:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real construction earnings growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (2.01%) and near-term (3.00%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real construction earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (2.01%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the Louisiana average (3.00%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real construction earnings growth rate fell below the statewide average (2.01%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (3.00%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real construction earnings growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (2.01%) and near-term (3.00%).
   
 
Summary of Louisiana's 64 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(3.00%)
Above
(3.00%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(2.01%)
10
18
28
Below
(2.01%)
10
13
23
 
20
31
51
 
   
Leading Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Leading Counties
white dot
Louisiana:
2010-2022 = 2.01%
2022 = 3.00%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the Louisiana counties classified as Leading. These counties surpassed Louisiana's average annual real construction earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 2.01%) as well as near-term (2022 = 3.00%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real construction earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Louisiana's 64 counties, 18 (28%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Slipping Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Slipping Counties
Louisiana:
2010-2022 = 2.01%
2022 = 3.00%
This figure depicts the distribution of the 10 Louisiana counties classified as Slipping (top-left quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real construction earnings growth rate outpaced the average statewide (2010-2022 = 2.01%), while they trailed the statewide average near-term (2022 = 3.00%). Again, each county is identified by it's corresponding ranking based on its average annual real construction earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Observe that 10 (16%) of Louisiana's 64 counties are classified as Slipping (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Gaining Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Gaining Counties
white dot
Louisiana:
2010-2022 = 2.01%
2022 = 3.00%
This figure shows the distribution of the 13 Louisiana counties classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real construction earnings growth rate posted below the average statewide (2010-2022 = 2.01%), while they outpaced Louisiana's average near-term (2022 = 3.00%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual real construction earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Louisiana's 64 counties, 20% (13) are featured as Gaining (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Lagging Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Lagging Counties
white dot
Louisiana:
2010-2022 = 2.01%
2022 = 3.00%
This figure depicts the distributions of the 10 Louisiana counties classified as Lagging (bottom-left quadrant). These counties trailed the statewide average annual real construction earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 2.01%) as well as near-term (2022 = 3.00%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real construction earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
16% of Louisiana's counties, 10 of 64, are characterized here as Lagging (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
   
 
Louisiana
Real* Construction Earnings Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2010-2022
 
2022
 
 
Leading Counties
 
6
9.75
 
8
23.04
1,012,034
 
3
26.71
 
2
276.68
13,425
 
10
6.06
 
32
4.98
1,120,311
 
2
30.28
 
1
405.94
82,661
 
20
3.28
 
31
6.19
37,727
 
21
3.00
 
25
8.23
654,295
 
27
2.52
 
7
25.71
275,201
 
13
5.13
 
19
11.54
311,472
 
25
2.65
 
29
6.91
303,970
 
9
6.32
 
35
3.12
24,686
 
24
2.78
 
24
9.10
306,391
 
4
21.23
 
23
10.68
43,627
 
12
5.15
 
28
7.02
116,684
 
26
2.60
 
10
20.60
64,752
 
18
3.67
 
26
7.86
735,021
 
14
4.89
 
15
13.96
187,915
 
22
2.84
 
27
7.83
224,891
 
11
5.42
 
21
10.69
18,310
Slipping Counties
 
7
9.04
 
53
-19.29
39,625
 
15
4.68
 
49
-8.07
55,912
 
1
120.83
 
60
-44.98
398,906
 
23
2.80
 
48
-6.84
10,562
 
8
8.67
 
55
-22.70
132,663
 
28
2.33
 
44
-3.07
8,298
 
16
4.18
 
43
-2.64
28,518
 
5
13.75
 
54
-20.54
5,257
 
19
3.39
 
39
0.92
108,386
 
17
4.13
 
57
-28.74
44,094
Gaining Counties
 
51
-8.32
 
22
10.69
7,986
 
48
-1.21
 
11
18.54
48,806
 
31
1.80
 
33
3.97
421,200
 
45
-1.03
 
3
47.05
8,464
 
42
-0.41
 
4
33.38
21,723
 
44
-0.87
 
5
29.52
10,223
 
41
-0.37
 
34
3.16
1,239,244
 
36
0.60
 
14
14.36
42,668
 
49
-3.90
 
6
26.78
64,653
 
39
0.15
 
16
12.46
23,447
 
33
0.90
 
17
12.33
92,282
 
43
-0.42
 
12
14.58
45,369
 
30
1.82
 
18
12.11
73,904
Lagging Counties
 
34
0.85
 
52
-14.57
109,494
 
35
0.83
 
40
0.25
164,606
 
32
1.73
 
37
2.23
2,810,169
 
47
-1.19
 
42
-1.52
18,890
 
50
-5.39
 
50
-12.76
106,185
 
46
-1.18
 
47
-6.05
66,085
 
38
0.34
 
38
2.17
460,482
 
40
-0.04
 
41
0.07
282,902
 
29
1.92
 
45
-3.83
105,755
 
37
0.58
 
36
2.41
277,409
Undefined/Suppressed Counties
 
U
U
 
58
-28.99
3,529
 
U
U
 
S
S
11,789
 
U
U
 
59
-31.16
28,649
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
51
-14.23
1,681
 
U
U
 
13
14.54
34,662
 
U
U
 
20
11.52
103,872
 
U
U
 
56
-27.83
3,386
 
U
U
 
30
6.69
3,317
 
U
U
 
46
-4.29
25,180
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
9
21.03
44,140
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2.01
 
3.00
13,147,601
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
5.09
 
7.26
915,317,000
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1600N_610400_LSGL
 
   
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