Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Assessing Retail Trade Earnings Growth
Across Louisiana Counties
Real* Retail Trade
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Retail Trade
Earnings Growth
Louisiana:
2010-2022 = 2.81%
2022 = 3.20%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of real retail trade earnings growth across all of Louisiana's 64 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this Louisiana Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the real retail trade earnings growth of Louisiana's 64 counties over the latest available year (2022) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2010-2022). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Real* Retail Trade
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Retail Trade
Earnings Growth
Louisiana:
2010-2022 = 2.81%
2022 = 3.20%
This figure displays the 64 counties of Louisiana as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual real retail trade earnings growth rate over the long-term period (2010-2022), and the horizontal axis representing the real retail trade earnings growth rate for the near-term (2022).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term real retail trade earnings growth exceeded the statewide average of 2.81%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 2.81% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual real retail trade earnings growth rate trailed the statewide average (2.81%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 26 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2010-2022, while 32 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 23 counties whose most recent (2022) real retail trade earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (3.20%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 35 counties whose real retail trade earnings growth over 2022 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 64 counties corresponding with their long-term (2010-2022) and near-term (2022) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of 2.81% over 2010-2022 and 3.20% over 2022:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real retail trade earnings growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (2.81%) and near-term (3.20%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real retail trade earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (2.81%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the Louisiana average (3.20%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real retail trade earnings growth rate fell below the statewide average (2.81%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (3.20%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real retail trade earnings growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (2.81%) and near-term (3.20%).
   
 
Summary of Louisiana's 64 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(3.20%)
Above
(3.20%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(2.81%)
14
12
26
Below
(2.81%)
21
11
32
 
35
23
58
 
   
Leading Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Leading Counties
white dot
Louisiana:
2010-2022 = 2.81%
2022 = 3.20%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the Louisiana counties classified as Leading. These counties surpassed Louisiana's average annual real retail trade earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 2.81%) as well as near-term (2022 = 3.20%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real retail trade earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Louisiana's 64 counties, 12 (19%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Slipping Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Slipping Counties
Louisiana:
2010-2022 = 2.81%
2022 = 3.20%
This figure depicts the distribution of the 14 Louisiana counties classified as Slipping (top-left quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real retail trade earnings growth rate outpaced the average statewide (2010-2022 = 2.81%), while they trailed the statewide average near-term (2022 = 3.20%). Again, each county is identified by it's corresponding ranking based on its average annual real retail trade earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Observe that 14 (22%) of Louisiana's 64 counties are classified as Slipping (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Gaining Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Gaining Counties
white dot
Louisiana:
2010-2022 = 2.81%
2022 = 3.20%
This figure shows the distribution of the 11 Louisiana counties classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real retail trade earnings growth rate posted below the average statewide (2010-2022 = 2.81%), while they outpaced Louisiana's average near-term (2022 = 3.20%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual real retail trade earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Louisiana's 64 counties, 17% (11) are featured as Gaining (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Lagging Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Lagging Counties
white dot
Louisiana:
2010-2022 = 2.81%
2022 = 3.20%
This figure depicts the distributions of the 21 Louisiana counties classified as Lagging (bottom-left quadrant). These counties trailed the statewide average annual real retail trade earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 2.81%) as well as near-term (2022 = 3.20%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real retail trade earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
33% of Louisiana's counties, 21 of 64, are characterized here as Lagging (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
   
 
Louisiana
Real* Retail Trade Earnings Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2010-2022
 
2022
 
 
Leading Counties
 
8
4.52
 
19
3.70
363,390
 
14
3.66
 
22
3.66
49,549
 
2
6.02
 
3
9.55
12,401
 
24
3.10
 
24
3.59
54,681
 
9
4.49
 
21
3.68
224,248
 
16
3.36
 
17
3.72
449,399
 
18
3.27
 
11
5.22
41,084
 
5
5.06
 
6
6.40
470,856
 
1
11.44
 
27
3.35
8,619
 
13
3.82
 
18
3.72
90,557
 
7
4.68
 
14
4.84
710,186
 
3
5.64
 
15
4.60
396,777
Slipping Counties
 
25
2.93
 
44
2.18
92,068
 
11
4.01
 
32
2.79
269,766
 
26
2.88
 
50
1.49
62,861
 
23
3.12
 
35
2.64
49,586
 
6
4.82
 
37
2.53
557,180
 
15
3.45
 
61
-8.85
39,471
 
12
4.01
 
58
-0.62
39,503
 
22
3.14
 
45
2.16
808,803
 
20
3.22
 
42
2.34
107,493
 
19
3.26
 
55
-0.01
57,593
 
4
5.23
 
38
2.50
64,579
 
10
4.10
 
43
2.30
190,954
 
17
3.31
 
39
2.48
83,191
 
21
3.14
 
62
-10.21
14,376
Gaining Counties
 
55
0.20
 
10
5.26
9,162
 
58
-3.59
 
2
10.28
11,789
 
37
2.18
 
4
9.28
13,237
 
45
1.60
 
20
3.68
149,171
 
46
1.56
 
16
3.85
15,954
 
40
1.89
 
26
3.45
1,351,491
 
53
0.61
 
23
3.65
135,973
 
57
-0.56
 
25
3.51
13,869
 
52
0.68
 
8
5.53
299,850
 
33
2.39
 
13
5.03
49,978
 
56
0.06
 
12
5.09
53,516
Lagging Counties
 
36
2.24
 
53
0.74
24,149
 
51
0.72
 
60
-2.58
16,092
 
42
1.74
 
47
1.78
11,566
 
39
2.02
 
48
1.75
613,097
 
29
2.66
 
31
2.79
36,200
 
35
2.27
 
28
3.15
1,293,514
 
44
1.65
 
36
2.63
13,750
 
41
1.85
 
52
1.08
36,434
 
28
2.70
 
57
-0.37
20,346
 
48
1.13
 
40
2.48
34,193
 
30
2.66
 
34
2.66
656,898
 
43
1.72
 
30
2.89
33,949
 
54
0.41
 
49
1.61
30,403
 
47
1.27
 
29
3.10
21,875
 
38
2.11
 
41
2.39
73,045
 
49
1.12
 
59
-1.15
83,018
 
31
2.52
 
51
1.39
25,390
 
50
0.79
 
54
0.47
83,941
 
34
2.38
 
56
-0.27
59,640
 
27
2.78
 
46
2.11
14,306
 
32
2.47
 
33
2.76
16,192
Undefined/Suppressed Counties
 
U
U
 
1
17.72
3,720
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
7
6.16
29,314
 
U
U
 
5
8.47
10,191
 
U
U
 
9
5.50
69,972
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2.81
 
3.20
10,734,526
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
3.97
 
3.04
861,699,000
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1600N_610700_LSGL
 
   
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